{"product_id":"everything-is-predictable-how-bayesian-statistics-explain-our-world","title":"Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World","description":"\u003cb\u003eA captivating and user-friendly tour of Bayes's theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of \u003ci\u003eThe Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy\u003c\/i\u003e.\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cb\u003e\u003c\/b\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003eAt its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in \u003ci\u003eEverything Is Predictable, \u003c\/i\u003e Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes's theorem is a description of almost everything. \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003eBut who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence? \u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003eFusing biography, razor-sharp science writing, and intellectual history, \u003ci\u003eEverything Is Predictable\u003c\/i\u003e is an entertaining tour of Bayes's theorem and its impact on modern life, showing how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.\r","brand":"Tom Chivers","offers":[{"title":"Hardcover","offer_id":44453749391596,"sku":"9781668052600","price":29.99,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0684\/1791\/3068\/files\/9781668052600.jpg?v=1708903739","url":"https:\/\/intl.allstora.com\/products\/everything-is-predictable-how-bayesian-statistics-explain-our-world","provider":"Allstora","version":"1.0","type":"link"}